Legal marijuana is among the fastest-growing
markets in the United States ,
and it's growing at a rate poised to outpace the expansion of the global
smartphone market, according to a new report obtained exclusively by The
Huffington Post.
Researchers surveyed hundreds of medical cannabis
retailers, processors, dispensary owners and industry leaders over the course
of six months this year, and estimated that more than $1.43 billion worth of
legal marijuana will be sold in 2013. The report also predicts that figure to
grow by 64 percent to $2.34 billion next year. By comparison, recent figures
show the U.S.
smartphone market expanded by 46 percent from 2012 to 2013.
"Cannabis is one of the fastest-growing
industries," said Steve Berg, a former managing director of Wells Fargo
Bank and editor of the report, the second edition of the State of Legal Marijuana Markets .
"Domestically, we weren't able to find any market that is growing as
quickly."
While it's important to note that smartphones
surged in popularity long before medical marijuana became a viable industry,
and global sales numbers for 2012-2013 don't offer a direct comparison to
2013-2014 domestic estimates, Berg said his goal was to illustrate just how
rapidly the cannabis market is expanding by offering familiar data points. The U.S. smartphone
market, according to research group IDC, is growing at an annual rate of 7.3
percent.
"Entrepreneurs and private investors are
flocking to cannabis markets," Berg said. "Those who really
understand market dynamics will reap large rewards."
Medical marijuana is currently legal in 20 states
and the District of Columbia .
Next year, Washington and Colorado will begin implementing laws that
permit the sale of pot to all adults, and Berg noted that those states will
obviously play a major role in the growth of the cannabis market. Colorado alone is
predicted to add $359 million to its existing market in 2014.
The marijuana industry's growth coincides with a
widespread shift in the public's attitude toward the substance. A Gallup poll
conducted last month found that for the first time in history, more than half
of Americans think pot should be legal for both medical and recreational
purposes. A CNN documentary that aired this summer explored marijuana's
benefits for a mainstream audience. And individuals are increasingly using the
plant's medicinal properties to treat symptoms even in children: A coalition of
conservative Mormon mothers in Utah
recently began lobbying for safe access to cannabis oil for their epileptic
children.
"There has been a seismic shift in public
attitudes towards marijuana," Berg said, explaining that as public opinion
changes, laws are likely to follow. "Younger voters will become a bigger
proportion of the overall voting base. It begins with shifts in attitudes and
that translates to initiatives."
The report predicts that 14 more states will
legalize marijuana for recreational adult use in the next five years, creating
a potential $10.2 billion cannabis market by 2018.
Berg added that his research only examined the
sale of cannabis itself, whether wholesale to retailers or directly to
consumers. He said that the market for ancillary products, such as security
equipment, grow tools, apps and paraphernalia, has the potential to drive
growth still further.
"This industry is professionalizing and
seeing an influx of professionals from other industries," he said.
"More and more investors are coming in and financing these businesses,
which have more and more markets to serve."
The federal government, however, has yet to catch
up to this rapid evolution. Even in states that permit marijuana use, cannabis
remains illegal at the federal level, and the Controlled Substance Act
classifies marijuana as having no medical value. Federal raids against
dispensaries in California
over the past two years have shuttered hundreds of businesses and hindered the
industry's growth.
Still, Berg remains optimistic, pointing to
Attorney General Eric Holder's recent assertion that the Justice Department
would not interfere with the implementation of adult use laws in Washington and Colorado .
"Federal acceptance of marijuana is not
going to happen in one fell swoop," he said. "It will happen
incrementally, with important steps along the way."
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